WHY
"Progress is not made by conceding defeat."
 
 
Regardless of whether interstellar travel can ever be achieved, it is a goal worth pursuing in earnest. Humanity stands to gain far more from a deliberate effort than by giving up or leaving the needed discoveries to chance. Assume for the moment that there are no breakthroughs lurking to be found and the prospects for interstellar flight are forever grim. In this case, supporting research into these matters will simply increase our general knowledge, as with any scientific endeavor. Plus, supporting such research will at least provide a sense of hope for the future. Conversely, assume for the moment that the breakthroughs are possible, but that their discovery is left to chance, so that they might be discovered too late or not at all. Given that the stakes could be the survival of the human race, it would be socially irresponsible to leave something this important up to chance. The table below expands on the consequences of support verses the relative impossibility of interstellar flight. Supporting this endeavor has value even if the ultimate goals prove impossible, while ignoring it could place our future at unnecessary risk
 
 
SUPPORT & CONSEQUENCES

 

If Impossible

If Possible

If Supported

(+)    Research that follows the scientific method will uncover new knowledge, regardless of the topic under study.

(+)    Interstellar flight will be achieved sooner.

(+)    Research toward such a grand and honorable ambition instills hope for the future.
(+)    Research demonstrating how to address such provocative possibilities rationally will set an example to counter pseudoscience endeavors.
()    Research that overtly addresses what appears impossible faces the risk of emboldening pseudoscience endeavors.

If Neglected

()    Absent overt legitimate research, it is likely that pseudoscience endeavors will emerge to fill the void, thereby further degrading the overall scientific literacy of the public.

()    Discoveries will take longer to find, if they are found at all. The crucial risk to this scenario is if the discoveries are needed to avert an impending catastrophic end to Earth's habitability.

While efforts are already underway to find an Earthlike planet, and even to search for signals from extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI), there is no focused effort to address how to travel that deeply into space. Existing spaceflight is cast in terms of near-Earth activities, which are still so difficult as to make interstellar flight look impossible. History has shown, however, that simply extrapolating existing techniques is not sufficient to sustain preeminence (Foster 1986).

Practical interstellar flight requires technological revolutions, and very likely breakthroughs in physics. Pockets of activity are scattered throughout government, academia, and industry, but these are typically small, uncoordinated efforts that face erratic budgets, operational constraints, and the negative stigma of pursuing such outrageous ambitions. The visionaries behind these activities are an available resource to tap. By linking the best of these, getting them extra support for their interstellar endeavors, and casting this as an independent effort, the seeds for spaceflight revolutions will begin to grow.

Examine the differences between the following 3 options for pursuing the advancements that can lead to practical interstellar flight:

  1. Pursue the von Braun vision of grand manned spaceflight. This is the direction assigned to NASA.
  2. Readjust the goals to fit budgets and technological realities. This means lowering one's ambitions to find affordable, yet still meaningful challenges. This is the realm of now active entrepreneurs.
  3. Seek the breakthroughs that will change everything. Go in search of the new S-curves (Foster 1986). Leave the evolutionary advancements to others.
 
PREDICTING THE QUICKEST STRATEGY TO REACH INTERSTELLAR WORLDS

 

Affordability & Sustainability

Technical Focus

Net Prediction

  Von Braun Vision

Budget mismatches ambition by a factor of  3 to 4 times.

Moon and Mars or bust!

Bust

  Entrepreneurs

Affordable by design

Next prudent steps

2nd place

  Tau Zero Foundation

Affordable by design

Go for the technological revolutions and physics breakthroughs that will change everything!

Fastest

Presently, some of the world’s most reputable thinkers deem interstellar flight impossible, and they might well be right. Conceding defeat, however, does not inspire progress. Even if the ultimate challenges prove impossible, there is value to be found in the attempt. Aiming for impossible goals forces thinking beyond mere extrapolation of existing technology. It presents a provocative challenge to spur discoveries that the others aren’t even looking for. It provides a different perspective from which to ponder the lingering mysteries of physics. It gives an inspirational theme around which to educate the public about the challenges and opportunities of science and technology. It helps remind us that we share a common humanity, temporarily stranded on our small planet, to encourage us to behave more responsibly. And finally, given the indefinitely long time scales of interstellar flight, it offers a role model for breaking from the pitfalls of instant gratification.

It is important to stress that the advances sought by this Foundation are not likely to occur quickly. Although this is discouraging, it is equally important to keep in mind the reciprocal aspect – that of the magnitude of advances sought. If the Foundation discovers new methods for energy exchange or methods to impart forces to distant objects, this would usher in a whole new genre of technology. As much as the historic revelation of the connection between electricity and magnetism led to motors, generators, and previously unimaginable devices, consider the consequences if the Foundation discovers an engineering connection between electromagnetism, gravity and inertia. At this point, this is wild conjecture. But with systematic, short-term increments of research, these conjectures can mature into hypotheses, tests, and discoveries.

And what if the impossible is possible? If so, it is certain to happen sooner than the pessimists believe. That is the way of pessimists. Some research and education is already happening in small fragments scattered across the world, albeit to a very limited degree. But is this enough? On something as important as giving humanity a future beyond the bounds of Earth, shouldn’t we be doing more? With the Tau Zero Foundation, you will be supporting a network of rational visionaries who are willing to tackle the impossible and produce value along the way. Join us. Support us. Help give humanity a future worth striving for.

 
     
 
 
Tau Zero Foundation is a 501(c)(3) public charity
Your donations are tax deductible
Last revisions by Marc Millis 2008-Feb-17